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So far Jonathan Baird has created 5 blog entries.

THE VELOCITY OF MONEY IS AT ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION DESPITE PERSISTENT INFLATIONARY PRESSURES

By Jonathan Baird - January 15, 2022 The velocity of money (the frequency at which money changes hands) sits near all-time lows and is again slowing, following a short-lived stimulus-induced boost in 2020.The velocity of money reached a peak in the late 1990s before declining in response to the crash of the internet stock [...]

THE VELOCITY OF MONEY IS AT ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION DESPITE PERSISTENT INFLATIONARY PRESSURES2022-01-21T16:53:05-05:00

INSIDER SELLING IS PRODUCING THE GREATEST TRANSFER OF INVESTMENT RISK IN HISTORY

A long-time investment maxim is that it pays to watch the stock transactions of company insiders, for they are in the best position to know the future earnings prospects of their company’s. Indeed, academic studies have confirmed that extremes of insider buying or selling are a useful leading indicatorof share prices. Various services [...]

INSIDER SELLING IS PRODUCING THE GREATEST TRANSFER OF INVESTMENT RISK IN HISTORY2022-01-21T16:53:58-05:00

THE VALUE OF GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS EQUALED WORLD GDP IN 2021 FOR ONLY THE SECOND TIME IN HISTORY

Global stock markets, fueled by a combination of unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus and extreme investor optimism, have soared to match the value of global GDP. The only previous example of this behaviour occurred at the peak of the internet bubble at the turn of the century.The previous example of this phenomenon can [...]

THE VALUE OF GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS EQUALED WORLD GDP IN 2021 FOR ONLY THE SECOND TIME IN HISTORY2022-01-21T16:55:08-05:00

STOCK MARKETS ARE PRODUCING NEGATIVE TOTAL REAL RETURNS (INCLUDING DIVIDENDS) FOR THE FIRST TIME IN HISTORY

The total earnings return on equities (calculated as the inverse of the P/E ratio plus dividends) are currently negative for the first time in history. Inflationary pressures and the lowest interest rates in 5000 years have produced this toxic situation for investors.The factors that have produced the current negative return environment: negative real [...]

STOCK MARKETS ARE PRODUCING NEGATIVE TOTAL REAL RETURNS (INCLUDING DIVIDENDS) FOR THE FIRST TIME IN HISTORY2022-01-21T16:59:17-05:00

THE BEST MEASURE OF INVESTOR SENTIMENT?

Extremes of investor sentiment, whether bullish or bearish, have proven to be a valuable tool for identifying periods with a high probability of major trend changes.Indeed, one of the most reliably profitable strategies through time has been to adopt an investment position counter to these extremes of crowd behaviour. It is not practiced [...]

THE BEST MEASURE OF INVESTOR SENTIMENT?2022-01-22T15:54:50-05:00
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